Publications

Desirability and Feasibility of a Global Reanalysis of Tropical Cyclones

Emanuel, K., P. Caroff, S. Delgado, C.‘. Guard, M. Guishard, C. Hennon, J. Knaff, K.R. Knapp, J. Kossin, C. Schreck, C. Velden, and J. Vigh, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0226.1, Published Online: 1 November 2017

Identification of Tropical Cyclone Storm Types Using Crowdsourcing

Knapp, K.R., J.L. Matthews, J.P. Kossin, and C.C. Hennon, Monthly Weather Review 2016 144:10, 3783-3798

The Influence of Model Resolution on the Simulated Sensitivity of North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Maximum Intensity to Sea Surface Temperature

Strazzo, S. E., J. B. Elsner, T. E. LaRow, H. Murakami, M. Wehner, and M. Zhao (2016), J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 8, 1037–1054.

The Arbitrary Definition of the Current Atlantic Major Hurricane Landfall Drought

Hart, R.E., D.R. Chavas, and M.P. Guishard, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 2016 97:5, 713-722

FLIGHT+: The Extended Flight Level Dataset for Tropical Cyclones (Version 1.1)

Vigh, J. L., N. M. Dorst, C. L. Williams, E. W. Uhlhorn, B. W. Klotz, J. Martinez, H. E. Willoughby, F. D. Marks, Jr., D. R. Chavas, 2016, Tropical Cyclone Data Project, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Research Applications Laboratory, Boulder, Colorado.

VDM+: The Enhanced Vortex Message Dataset: Structure, Intensity, and Environmental Parameters from Atlantic Tropical Cyclones

Vigh, J., 2015, NCAR Technical Note NCAR/TN-517+STR, 72 pp, doi:10.5065/D6PR7T26

Multiannual Forecasts of Atlantic U.S. Tropical Cyclone Wind Damage Potential

Caron, L., L. Hermanson, and F. J. Doblas-Reyes (2015), Geophys. Res. Lett., 42, 2417–2425. doi: 10.1002/2015GL063303.

Depositional Evidence for the Kamikaze Typhoons and Links to Changes in Typhoon Climatology

J.D. Woodruff, K. Kanamaru, S. Kundu, T.L. Cook; Geology ; 43 (1): 91–94. doi: https://doi.org/10.1130/G36209.1

Hurricanes and Climate: The U.S. CLIVAR Working Group on Hurricanes

Walsh, K.J., S.J. Camargo, G.A. Vecchi, A.S. Daloz, J. Elsner, K. Emanuel, M. Horn, Y. Lim, M. Roberts, C. Patricola, E. Scoccimarro, A.H. Sobel, S. Strazzo, G. Villarini, M. Wehner, M. Zhao, J.P. Kossin, T. LaRow, K. Oouchi, S. Schubert, H. Wang, J. Bacmeister, P. Chang, F. Chauvin, C. Jablonowski, A. Kumar, H. Murakami, T. Ose, K.A. Reed, R. Saravanan, Y. Yamada, C.M. Zarzycki, P.L. Vidale, J.A. Jonas, and N. Henderson, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 2015 96:6, 997-1017

QSCAT-R: The QuikSCAT Tropical Cyclone Radial Structure Dataset

Chavas, D. R., and J. Vigh, 2014: NCAR Technical Note NCAR/TN-513+STR, 25 pp, doi:10.5065/D6J67DZ4.

Changes in Large-scale Controls of Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Activity with the Phases of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation

Caron, LP., Boudreault, M. & Bruyère, C.L. Clim Dyn (2015) 44: 1801. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2186-5

Hurricane Climatology: A Modern Statistical Guide Using R

By: James B. Elsner & Thomas H. Jagger, Oxford Press

Hurricane Clusters in the Vicinity of Florida

Jagger, T.H. and J.B. Elsner, Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology 2012 51:5, 869-877

Maximum Wind Speeds and US Hurricane Losses

Murnane, R. J., and J. B. Elsner (2012), Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L16707, doi:10.1029/2012GL052740.

 

Tornadoes, Hail and Severe Convective Storms

Statistical Models for Tornado Climatology: Long and Short-Term Views

Elsner JB, Jagger TH, Fricker T, Statistical Models for Tornado Climatology: Long and Short-Term Views (2016). PLoS ONE 11(11): e0166895. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0166895

Tornadoes in Europe: An Underestimated Threat

Antonescu, B., D.M. Schultz, A. Holzer, and P. Groenemeijer Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 2017 98:4, 713-728

Atmosfear: Communicating the Effects of Climate Change on Extreme Weather

Janković, V. and D.M. Schultz Atmosfear: Communicating the Effects of Climate Change on Extreme Weather, Weather, Climate, and Society 2017 9:1, 27-37

Tornadoes in Europe: Synthesis of the observational datasets

Antonescu, B., D.M. Schultz, F. Lomas, and T. Kühne, Tornadoes in Europe: Synthesis of the Observational Datasets, Monthly Weather Review 2016 144:7, 2445-2480

Reexamining the United Kingdom’s greatest tornado outbreak: Forecasting the limited extent of tornadoes along a cold front

Apsley, M.L., K.J. Mulder, and D.M. Schultz, Reexamining the United Kingdom’s Greatest Tornado Outbreak: Forecasting the Limited Extent of Tornadoes along a Cold Front, Weather and Forecasting 2016 31:3, 853-875

Understanding How Climate Change Could Affect Tornadoes

Elsner, J. and M. Guishard (2014), Understanding How Climate Change Could Affect Tornadoes, Eos Trans. AGU, 95(45), 412.

 

Extratropical Storms

Feature tracking in high-resolution regional climate data.

Massey, N. (2016) Computers and Geosciences, 93: 36-44.

High-resolution Modeling Studies of the Changing Risks of Damage from Extratropical Cyclones

Cipullo, M., North Carolina State University, Master of Science Thesis, Marine, Earth & Atmos Sciences, 2013

A Climatology of Arabian Sea Cyclonic Storms

Evan, Amato T., Suzana J. Camargo, 2011: Journal of Climate, 24, 140–158. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3611.1

Atlantic Subtropical Storms. Part II: Climatology

Guishard, MP, Evans, JL, Hart, RE, 2009: Journal of Climate, 22, 3574–3594. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2346.1

 

Flooding, Oceans and Climate

Rapid escalation of coastal flood exposure in US municipalities from sea level rise

Kulp, S. & Strauss, B.H. Climatic Change (2017) 142: 477. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-017-1963-7

Flooding threshold rainfall events in Bermuda.

Johnston, MC, Guishard, MP, Peñate, I, Currie, ID, Weather (accepted 13 August 2017: in press).

Strong Influence of El Niño Southern Oscillation on Flood Risk Around the World

Ward, P.J., Jongman, B., Kummu, M., Dettinger, M.D., Sperna Weiland, F.C., Winsemius, H.C., Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2014 111 (44) 15659-15664; doi:10.1073/pnas.1409822111

Warming of the Oceans and Implications for the (Re)insurance Industry

Niehörster, F., Aichinger, M., Murnane,R., Ranger, N., Surminski, S., June 2013, The Geneva Association

Influence of African dust on ocean-atmosphere variability in the tropical Atlantic

Evan, A. T., G. R. Foltz, D. Zhang and D. J. Vimont (2011), Nature Geoscience, 4, 762–765, doi:10.1038/ngeo1276.

The Role of Aerosols in the Evolution of Tropical North Atlantic Ocean Temperature

Evan, A. T., D. J. Vimont, R. Bennartz, J. P. Kossin and A. K. Heidinger (2009), Science, Vol. 324. no. 5928, pp. 778 – 781, doi:10.1126/science.1167404.

How Long Does the Climate “Remember” a Tropical Cyclone?

Hart, R., R. Maue, and M. Watson, 2008: How long does the climate “remember” a tropical cyclone? Bulletin of the Amer. Meteor. Soc., May 2008, 596-598.